The Diversity Dodge

In the Post, Jay Mathews writes about the long-standing practice among Virginia public universities of discriminating against applicants from Northern Virginia.  No one denies it; a UVA spokesman said "Our primary goal is to enroll an academically strong and diverse class of first-year and transfer students each year. As a state institution, we are interested in enrolling students from all areas of the commonwealth."

This is a clear case of universities taking a worthy and important value--diversity--and rendering it meaningless by using it as cover for their acquiescence to a political spoils system. 

I understand the need to have diverse perspectives on at an institution of higher learning. While I probably wouldn't give that concern as much weight as universities typically do, it's not an illegitimate goal. But a student who grew up in Roanoke isn't exactly bringing the same kind of diversity to the table as a student from Madagascar or Tibet.  The "all areas of the commonwealth" justification also doesn't make much sense; those areas clearly don't include the quarter-acre of land on which the rejected student featured in the piece happens to live. 

This amounts to selfish legislators from Southern Virginia imposing a confiscatory, redistributionist educational opportunity tax on unsuspecting teenagers in Northern Virginia, and universities that would rather go along with it and hide behind the diversity excuse than stand up to public officials who might cut their funding. 

Teacher Tests in Peru

What if teacher applicants had to take a national test? How many would pass? If this were Peru that would be less than 1 percent. Way less. NPR ran a quick story last week on the Peruvian Ministry of Education's attempts to get a handle on poor teacher performance, covered in more detail here (thx to Abdul for the heads-up). As reported, Peru does a relatively good job getting its kids through school--most graduate from its high school equivalent--but the quality of learning is low. Peru was the worst performer of 43 countries on reading, math and science on the 2000 PISA test. So to improve teacher quality, the ministry of education established a test and required all public school teacher applicants to take it. Test takers needed to score at least 14 out of 20 points to pass. Only 151 of over 180,000 teachers in Peru managed to pass the test.

That's one hundred and fifty one teacher applicants out of 180,000 that passed. That’s an astoundingly low number. So I emailed a friend of mine who lives in Lima. She’s not a teacher but she works with kids in an arts program and I figured she might have an interesting take on what’s happening down there. Here’s what she said:

The whole thing seems way out of hand. Was the exam exceptionally difficult? I don’t know- maybe it was. But from what I’ve heard, it was basic. I think the people we’ve got preparing to teach are just really underqualified to teach children. This is a major problem in the long term but even right now it’s a big mess. Last year it was crazy. They declared a huelga indefinida [indefinite strike] because they wouldn’t accept that they might have to take a test. School started but there were still local strikes and teachers didn't show up. So my kids were hanging around a lot, doing nothing. But Macio [teacher friend] is pissed because he’s insistent that this isn’t really even about the testing. They want more money for the whole education system here and more training and support. So my kids are in school now again but it’s still a big mess and there’s a lot of hostility.

The strike last summer was reportedly pretty violent and brought the school system to a standstill. An agreement was reached after 15 days but it didn't end the controversy over how best to improve teacher quality in Peru. In all, it seems pretty clear that the pressure is building on both the labor side and the school management side. This isn't surprising given that we’re talking about a major labor problem if the majority of teachers and teacher applicants lack the knowledge and skills they need to teach kids well. The teachers and the union, are going to have to do more than strike if they hope to improve their profession and the education of Peruvian children. But it cuts both ways and the ministry of education is going to have to acknowledge that testing the teachers may help to diagnose the gravity of the problem but it’s not going to solve it. And they’re going to have to deal with the fact that improving teaching will not happen over night (on the bright side, we see some efforts underway here and with help from outside Peru here and here).

Simple Headlines for a Complex Issue

Declaring a crisis in student loans certainly makes good headlines and it's a great front page piece in April, when many families are reviewing financial aid offers and figuring out how to finance college. But, as the last quote in yesterday's Washington Post piece on the issue pointed out,

"The congressional action and the media coverage on this issue is doing a massive disservice to students and families, many of whom are concerned about paying for college already," said Luke Swarthout, higher education advocate for the U.S. Public Interest Research Group. "We know many of them are adverse to debt, and for lenders to be sending out a message of crisis in order to secure themselves a bailout potentially could dissuade families from seeking available financing options."

Of course, that didn't stop the Post's editors from using a headline that read, "Exit of College Lenders Sets Off Scramble to Fill Breach." While it's important to report on the problems many student loan companies are facing right now, it is equally as important to point out that the federal government has tools at hand--the lender of last resort program and the Direct Loan program--to address the problem. And that there are many lenders that are still offering student loans.

Another issue that often is missing from current news reports on student loans is whether it's a good idea in the first place to allow institutions to include tens of thousands of dollars in loans, especially high-interest private loans, in their 'aid' packages. The New America Foundation does a great job in this post of pointing out how the easy availability of high-cost private loans, loans that don't have a government guarantee or a fixed interest rate, has allowed colleges to raise tuitions and shift from need-based to merit-based aid (e.g., more grant money going to higher income students).

I also can't help noting that the largest guarantor of these private loans, the Education Resources Institute (TERI), filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. TERI credited their financial troubles to disappearing demand among investors for bonds backed by student loans. But you also have to wonder if investors are worried about the potential for high default rates among these private student loans in light of their recent rapid growth, particularly among students with poor credit histories and attending institutions with low graduation rates. Much like the sub-prime mortgage markets, these sub-prime student loans are ripe for default. But unfortunately for students, unlike TERI, they won't get any relief in bankruptcy from student loan debt.

If Only All College Students Were Educated Like Athletes

That's the thesis of Education Sector Co-Jefe Andy Rotherham's op-ed in USA Today. Many undergraduates struggle to succeed and graduate with very little in the way of counseling or academic attention from their institutions. But that's not because those institutions are incapable of providing such support; they often spend lots of time and money helping the subset of students whose continued enrollment they actually care about: major-sports athletes.

Crucially, Andy's piece also contains an element that all experienced op-ed writers know virtually guarantees placement in a major newspaper, something so compelling that persuasive writing instructors absolutely drill this into their student's heads: name-check Kevin Carey. Seriously, no opinion page editor can resist, I swear.

It's All About Tennessee

We just released a report about the teacher-centered Benwood initiative in Chattanooga, Tennessee. In it, I argue that the successful turn-around of eight failing elementary schools was not because the schools rid themselves of their existing teaching staffs but because they put forth an all-hands-on-deck effort to improve teaching and learning in those schools. It’s a tale of teacher improvement. You can read about it here or see the whole thing here.

Also in Tennessee, Memphis may have lost but the Vols took the title over Stanford. As someone who’s learned a lot of good things about UT recently (UT-Chattanooga as one of many partners in the Benwood initiative) and as a former Cal Bear, I couldn’t be happier about that.

Tenure Cont'd

Ed Notes offers a justification for banning the use of student performance data in teacher tenure decisions: Using test scores to estimate teacher effectiveness is methodologically complicated. (This is true). Therefore, it should be outlawed. (This is absurd).

Most important things, including teaching, are complicated. If we squelch every attempt to understand such things and act on that knowledge, we'll be left knowing very little about very little, which more or less describes the state of knowledge about teacher effectiveness today. Indeed, most teacher policy failures are a function of privileging easily measurable unimportant things, like master's degrees and state certification, over difficult-to-measure important things, like effectiveness in boosting test scores.

Ed Notes also offers the "it hasn't been tested" argument, i.e. the chicken-and-egg theory of policy obstructionism: it can't be tried because it hasn't been proven; it can't be proven because it hasn't been tried.

Meanwhile, some unknown person who claims to be a social scientist but isn't willing to offer any credentials to prove it labels all critiques of the union's role in legally banning evidence of student learning from judgments of teacher effectiveness as "union bashing." Because if you criticize unions, ipso facto, you're a union basher--as is, apparently, the famously conservative, union-hating New York Times editorial page, which said:

The ban is so nonsensical that lawmakers clearly decided that the only way to get it passed was to keep it hidden deep in the budget documents. Nobody in Albany would say who is behind this language. The driving force, however, is the powerful teachers’ union that gives lots of money and time to state campaigns.

I'd always been under the impression that "science," and thus "social science," involved certain values of empiricism, evidence, and transparency of information., as opposed to endorsing late-night money- and power-driven legislative skullduggery that's antithetical to those things. But maybe "science" means something different wherever they hand out anonymous, theoretical social science degrees, I don't know. 

There It Is

The Times is reporting that, at the behest of the teachers unions, last-minute language was snuck into the New York State budget providing that "teacher[s] shall not be granted or denied tenure based on student performance data."

There's really not much one can add to that; it's hard to imagine a more unambiguous declaration of the union's total disregard for student learning when its members' jobs are at stake.

Community College Conundrum

I took the train up to Philadelphia yesterday to sit on a panel at the American Association of Community Colleges annual convention. The topic was "Community Colleges: Who Should Judge Them And How." My position was that insofar as the main purpose of community colleges is to prepare students to succeed in further education and work, the best way to judge them is to see if their students succeed in further education and work, taking into account where those students were academically and economically when they arrived in college. In the information age, when it's never been cheaper or easier to gather large amounts of data and track this kind of thing over time, there are really no resource or logistical barriers to comprehensive, long-term evaluations of college success. The only thing standing in the way is the colleges themselves, who are deeply uncomfortable with the prospect of this kind of evaluation.

I've made the same argument about four-year colleges and universities many times. It's often not well-received, and I understand why: a lot of these institutions aren't really in the education business. They're in the sorting business, or the prestige business, or the research business, or the professional sports business (great game last night, btw). The status quo method of judging colleges puts them at the top of the heap in terms of status and resources, so they have nowhere to go but down.

Community colleges, by contrast, are at the bottom of the heap. They get fewer public resources to do a more difficult job. They're selling what economists call an inferior good--something people consume less of the more money they have. To most people, every four-year college is better than every two-year college.

This is, of course, completely wrong: there are community colleges out there that are clearly teaching better than many if not most four-year institutions, precisely because they're in the education business. Two-year institutions have nothing to lose and a lot to gain by shifting to a way of judging higher education institutions that puts more emphasis on student learning and success in the workplace. Even if it turned out that the flagship university really is doing better than the the local community college, the actual difference between them is almost surely less than the current perceived difference.

Yet while the overall tenor of the conversation in Philadelphia was less openly hostile than I've seen from the four-year crowd, and a bunch of people came up to me afterward to say "I think you're right," it was obvious that few people were comfortable standing up in a room full of their peers and saying "We should embrace this approach." I think that's because there's something in higher education that's even more powerful than rational self-interest: a culture of politeness, where administrators are loathe to ever speak ill (in public) of their peer institutions, or to embrace any kind of measurement system that would, inevitably and properly, identify some institutions as low-performing.

Hopefully the time will soon come when the two-year institutions, along with the many less selective four-year universities, realize that they have nothing to lose but their chains.

A Simple Change And A Storm of Lobbying

A simple, seemingly technical, amendment to the Higher Education Act has set off a storm of lobbying from for-profit colleges. The lobbying push, which began earlier this year, is targeted toward an amendment that would change the way the Department of Education calculates student loan default rates. Currently, the federal student loan “cohort default rate” is the percentage of students who default on their student loans within two years of leaving school. The amendment would change this to the percentage of students defaulting within three years of leaving school. That one additional year has put many for-profit colleges and their collective representative, the Career College Association (CCA), on the offensive.

Why is the for-profit sector so concerned? Because changing the way the default rate is calculated puts them at risk of losing access to federal student loan money. Changing the calculation will cause the default rate for all colleges to go up, but it is especially bad news for for-profit colleges and could put hundreds of schools at risk of running afoul of the default rate cut-offs for participating in the federal student loan program. Currently, if an institution has a default rate above 25 percent for three years or a one-year default rate above 40 percent, the institution is no longer eligible to participate in the student loan program. And for-profit institutions are heavily reliant on federal loan funds.

The most recent National Post-Secondary Student Aid Survey report shows just how dependent for-profit colleges are on loan money. Seventy-two percent of students enrolled in for-profit institutions took out loans in 2003, compared with 53 percent at private, 4-year non-profit institutions and a mere 11 percent at public, 2-year institutions, the for-profit sector’s most direct competitors. And, students at for-profit colleges borrowed more money—an average annual loan amount of $5,800, slightly higher than the average annual amount for students enrolled in private, 4-year institutions ($5,100).

If for-profit colleges are going to continue to graduate students with heavy debt loads, they need to prove that the degrees are worth it—and default rates are one measure of the value of a degree. Sure, race, income, etc. are a big factor in a student’s likelihood to default, but institutional factors also play an important role. Of course, if you just listened to the CCA, you wouldn’t realize this—they argue that students’ failure to repay loans is not an indication of institutional quality. They even put out a research report to prove it.

In January, the CCA released a study, prepared by Indiana University, purporting to show that default rates “do not reflect on the quality or type of institution attended”. But this conclusion depends on what you characterize as a ‘student’ characteristic versus an ‘institution’ characteristic. If, as the report does, you characterize earning a degree as solely a ‘student’ characteristic, then the fact that this is a top predictor of loan default would simply reinforce the conclusion that default risk falls squarely on the shoulders of students.

But a student’s likelihood of graduating depends heavily on the academic support, financial aid package, and counseling the student receives from an institution. Given what we know about the ability of institutions to influence a student’s academic success and likelihood of graduating, the report actually supports the importance of institutions in lowering student loan default rates. The report concludes that, “…students’ academic trajectories throughout postsecondary education—credits attempted, credits completed, grades earned, transferring, enrolling continuously, time to degree/certificate, and failing credit hours—emerge as strong predictors of loan default. It is this constellation of student academic success variables that consistently represents the strongest set of predictors of loan default.”

But it is important to the for-profit sector that lawmakers don’t reach this conclusion. The amendment to change the default rate calculation has already been softened in response to lobbying efforts—the cut-off for participation in the student loan program will be raised to a 30 percent default rate over 3 years and schools will have until 2012 before the amendment takes effect. These changes will help for-profit institutions, which would see the greatest increase in default rates with the change. According to Department of Education calculations, for-profit colleges would, on average, see their default rates double with the addition of just one year, compared with a 50 to 75 percent increase in other sectors.

For-profit colleges often argue that their sector provides students that otherwise would not attend college—primarily minority, low-income students—with the opportunity to earn a degree. But this opportunity cannot end when a student enters the door and pays his bill, it must include the opportunity to receive needed academic supports and the opportunity to earn a degree. And it's not just for-profit colleges that need to pay attention to student academic success—many public institutions and private, non-profit colleges can do a lot more to support student learning and student success.

Student loan default rates are one measure of the extent to which institutions are providing a real opportunity—with high cut-offs for participating in the loan program, the default rate measure helps to protect students from colleges that simply provide them with the opportunity to pay a bill, rather than the opportunity to earn a valuable degree.